Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.000009 0.000010 0.000012 0.000013 0.000015 0.000017 0.000019
2024-12-15 0.000008 0.000010 0.000011 0.000014 0.000017 0.000020 0.000025
2024-12-22 0.000007 0.000009 0.000011 0.000015 0.000019 0.000025 0.000033
2024-12-29 0.000006 0.000009 0.000011 0.000015 0.000021 0.000029 0.000043
2025-01-05 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000015 0.000022 0.000033 0.000051
2025-01-12 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000024 0.000037 0.000063
2025-01-19 0.000004 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000025 0.000042 0.000075
2025-01-26 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000016 0.000027 0.000047 0.000092
2025-02-02 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000016 0.000030 0.000056 0.000118
2025-02-09 0.000003 0.000006 0.000009 0.000017 0.000031 0.000062 0.000142
2025-02-16 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000017 0.000033 0.000070 0.000173
2025-02-23 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000017 0.000035 0.000078 0.000208
2025-03-02 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000017 0.000037 0.000087 0.000252
2025-03-09 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000017 0.000039 0.000097 0.000304
2025-03-16 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000041 0.000109 0.000376
2025-03-23 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000018 0.000044 0.000123 0.000465
2025-03-30 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000044 0.000129 0.000529
2025-04-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000017 0.000045 0.000141 0.000628
2025-04-13 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000017 0.000046 0.000151 0.000730
2025-04-20 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000017 0.000048 0.000167 0.000890
2025-04-27 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000018 0.000053 0.000195 0.001175
2025-05-04 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000018 0.000055 0.000215 0.001428
2025-05-11 0.000001 0.000003 0.000007 0.000018 0.000058 0.000241 0.001789